Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.995415 3.348537 3.730661 4.175545 4.680083 5.235439 5.894304
2024-10-20 2.447273 2.910083 3.446206 4.115594 4.932385 5.900899 7.142616
2024-10-27 2.014493 2.505890 3.104312 3.891356 4.906078 6.179477 7.912953
2024-11-03 1.797283 2.320646 2.985045 3.897848 5.130950 6.755369 9.084541
2024-11-10 1.663598 2.218729 2.949465 3.992688 5.461521 7.482330 10.519022
2024-11-17 1.532280 2.101844 2.875624 4.018137 5.686710 8.072842 11.812949
2024-11-24 1.421895 2.000337 2.808873 4.039775 5.898548 8.652978 13.142653
2024-12-01 1.326275 1.909304 2.745752 4.055482 6.095455 9.220304 14.504343
2024-12-08 1.214835 1.784704 2.621281 3.964329 6.114763 9.508315 15.440475
2024-12-15 1.135527 1.700916 2.549440 3.944890 6.239881 9.968218 16.701603
2024-12-22 1.060573 1.617461 2.470515 3.905283 6.324881 10.364555 17.889146
2024-12-29 1.036072 1.610352 2.509303 4.057785 6.740040 11.351544 20.232816
2025-01-05 0.976455 1.544310 2.451071 4.047802 6.883214 11.893237 21.849106
2025-01-12 0.916463 1.473364 2.379496 4.008803 6.971346 12.344876 23.350228
2025-01-19 0.829884 1.352271 2.215509 3.794753 6.723280 12.152460 23.556945
2025-01-26 0.790337 1.307741 2.177979 3.801861 6.881999 12.738157 25.406577
2025-02-02 0.768244 1.291409 2.187512 3.894280 7.208619 13.678374 28.113407
2025-02-09 0.737014 1.256837 2.162132 3.919071 7.405356 14.378513 30.389980
2025-02-16 0.707581 1.223407 2.136213 3.940124 7.595396 15.082011 32.762808
2025-02-23 0.679472 1.190462 2.108715 3.955404 7.774065 15.777875 35.207414
2025-03-02 0.639291 1.132881 2.031676 3.866741 7.728699 15.987413 36.524086
2025-03-09 0.611238 1.096072 1.991186 3.847832 7.827991 16.521392 38.696783
2025-03-16 0.582659 1.056562 1.942973 3.809305 7.881070 16.955936 40.677137